Free resource
Sardinia Tourism Summer 2026 Study
An independent analysis by Coperti on how the Iran conflict is changing expectations for Sardinia's summer season. Three-scenario estimation model, provincial breakdown, concrete operational implications for the hospitality and restaurant sectors. 80+ sources, 37 pages, free.
PDF · 37 pages 1.1 MB
-5% / -3%
Expected arrivals summer 2026 vs record 2025
500-800k
Overnight stays lost vs pre-war forecast
€200-300 M
Direct GDP contraction of the tourism supply chain
What's inside
- Geopolitical context and conflict timeline: what happened since 28 February 2026
- Sardinian tourism before the conflict: the starting point from record 2025 (21.8M overnight stays)
- Conflict impact on tourism: demand, airline capacity, jet fuel
- Historical precedents: lessons from 9/11, Arab Spring, COVID-19
- Estimation model methodology: source-market decomposition
- Three scenarios for summer 2026: optimistic, central, pessimistic (with probabilities)
- Province-by-province reading: Gallura, Cagliari, Sassari, Nuoro/Ogliastra, Oristano
- Operational implications for restaurants and accommodation (pricing, marketing, floor, KPIs)
- Indicators to monitor over the next six weeks
- Sources consulted: 80+ institutional, industry and editorial sources
Who it's for
- Restaurateurs in tourism or seasonal areas (Costa Smeralda, Cagliari, Alghero, Villasimius, Pula)
- Hoteliers and accommodation operators in Sardinia
- Tour operators, travel agencies, DMCs
- Local government, tourism councillors, sector analysts
- Investors and decision-makers in the travel & hospitality industry
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